Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.281701 0.323183 0.367698 0.418908 0.476074 0.537807 0.609392
2025-12-14 0.215878 0.272258 0.337587 0.418394 0.515131 0.626672 0.764424
2025-12-21 0.165240 0.228223 0.306703 0.410498 0.542842 0.704516 0.915350
2025-12-28 0.137071 0.205853 0.297406 0.425913 0.598998 0.821126 1.124313
2026-01-04 0.114980 0.186942 0.288824 0.439845 0.653534 0.939980 1.346802
2026-01-11 0.094721 0.166455 0.274259 0.442542 0.691856 1.039687 1.551786
2026-01-18 0.078309 0.148396 0.259920 0.442692 0.725232 1.134061 1.755798
2026-01-25 0.064873 0.132346 0.245799 0.440519 0.753732 1.222449 1.956656
2026-02-01 0.054203 0.118812 0.233368 0.438760 0.781611 1.310823 2.162449
2026-02-08 0.045415 0.106847 0.221539 0.435959 0.806632 1.395591 2.367314
2026-02-15 0.037912 0.095738 0.209341 0.430554 0.826046 1.471964 2.563014
2026-02-22 0.033300 0.089624 0.205414 0.439083 0.869205 1.588464 2.827976
2026-03-01 0.027882 0.080632 0.194689 0.434069 0.888868 1.668949 3.042320
2026-03-08 0.023990 0.074288 0.188330 0.436541 0.921988 1.774049 3.303314
2026-03-15 0.020039 0.066781 0.178228 0.430187 0.937952 1.850477 3.520660
2026-03-22 0.018269 0.064597 0.179573 0.447398 0.999874 2.011015 3.889727
2026-03-29 0.016576 0.062200 0.180026 0.462669 1.059104 2.170111 4.264433
2026-04-05 0.014444 0.057929 0.175277 0.465947 1.094585 2.287969 4.572611
2026-04-12 0.012481 0.053596 0.169614 0.466389 1.124098 2.396222 4.868803
2026-04-19 0.010696 0.049284 0.163233 0.464293 1.147923 2.494834 5.152080
2026-04-26 0.009185 0.045422 0.157347 0.462561 1.172145 2.595252 5.443139
2026-05-03 0.007856 0.041762 0.151335 0.459698 1.193464 2.690921 5.729549
2026-05-10 0.006645 0.038096 0.144595 0.454083 1.208018 2.773741 5.995271